Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
39%
2.7
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
39%
Draw
34%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.1pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.7pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +9%
0.89/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.00
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
14.02.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Caseros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 39% / 26% — and on the day Club Atletico Guemes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 35%, draw 39%, Estudiantes Caseros 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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