San Martin San Juan 2-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.55/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.09
+24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
30.06.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
11.02.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
01.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 4-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
26.02.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
28.02.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan nicked a narrow win over Club Atletico Guemes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.17 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Club Atletico Guemes?

San Martin San Juan 2-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 49%, draw 31%, Club Atletico Guemes 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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