Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
0.86/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.85
-25% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
3W-2D-0L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
01.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 4-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
26.02.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
28.02.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
16.05.2021 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1-0
AWAY San Martin San Juan
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes squeezed past San Martin San Juan 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Club Atletico Guemes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Club Atletico Guemes had 46% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 54%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.40 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin San Juan?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 37%, draw 33%, San Martin San Juan 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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