Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.9pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
23.05.2009 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
15.11.2008 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.03.2008 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 3-3 HT 1-2 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
29.08.2007 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
21.04.2007 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
20.03.2006 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-5 HT 1-3 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
1-0
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy edged past Arsenal Sarandi 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia Jujuy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia Jujuy had 41% of the ball to Arsenal Sarandi's 59%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.17 for Arsenal Sarandi.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 43%, draw 31%, Arsenal Sarandi 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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