Defensores Unidos 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.4
No
70%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.0pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.0pp
30%
BTTS Yes
38%
-8.0pp
70%
BTTS No
62%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.25/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.80
+10% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
22.07.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
20.03.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensores Unidos
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores Unidos nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Defensores Unidos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensores Unidos had 48% of the ball to Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's 52%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Defensores Unidos and 1.00 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Defensores Unidos 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 34%, draw 28%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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