Almirante Brown 1-2 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.06/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
-13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
18.09.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-2 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
01.09.2019 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBM
09.07.2015 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 5-1 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
21.02.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-0 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBM
22.08.2014 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almirante Brown
1-2
AWAY Tristan Suarez
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez nicked a narrow win over Almirante Brown 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Tristan Suarez made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almirante Brown had 51% of the ball to Tristan Suarez's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.60 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?

Almirante Brown 1-2 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 38%, draw 28%, Tristan Suarez 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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