Patronato 1-2 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.51
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.9pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.16/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.82
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
192 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.07.2025 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
10.03.2025 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
25.01.2023 Patronato Patronato 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJK
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro edged past Patronato 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Patronato and 0.67 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Patronato 1-2 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Patronato 36%, draw 34%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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