Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
35%
2.63
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
35%
Draw
35%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.32/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.36
+18% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Patronato
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.03.2025 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJPBN
25.01.2023 Patronato Patronato 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro ARJK
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro squeezed past Patronato 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Y Tiro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Patronato led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gimnasia Y Tiro and 1.00 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Patronato?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 43%, draw 35%, Patronato 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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