Deportivo Moron 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.17/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.54
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.03.2025 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
18.06.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-1 HT 0-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
14.02.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
08.10.2022 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
23.12.2020 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron and Agropecuario Argentino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Moron at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.20 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Deportivo Moron 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 46%, draw 35%, Agropecuario Argentino 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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