Dandenong Thunder 2-1 Bentleigh Greens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 58%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.91/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.08
-44% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bentleigh Greens
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
210 Passes 286
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.03.2026 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
17.06.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 1-1 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
17.03.2023 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 0-3 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
16.07.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-2 HT 2-0 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
15.04.2022 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 2-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
12.03.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder nicked a narrow win over Bentleigh Greens 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bentleigh Greens at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bentleigh Greens led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.50 for Bentleigh Greens.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

Dandenong Thunder 2-1 Bentleigh Greens in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bentleigh Greens win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 26%, draw 24%, Bentleigh Greens 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bentleigh Greens), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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