BATE II 1-4 Lida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 11 Jul 2026

BATE II
1-4 HT 1-0
Lida
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.09
Draw
15%
4.08
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.53
No
35%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
19%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
17%
+13.8pp
15%
Draw
22%
-6.6pp
55%
Away Win
62%
-7.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
+4.0pp
35%
BTTS No
39%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Lida EU Bookmakers 66%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.08/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.92
+80% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +27%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2025 BATE II BATE II 2-1 HT 0-0 Lida Lida BLR1
20.09.2024 Lida Lida 2-0 HT 1-0 BATE II BATE II BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE II
1-4
AWAY Lida
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH BATE II vs Lida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lida ran out comfortable winners over BATE II 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lida as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BATE II and 1.50 for Lida.

What was the final score of BATE II vs Lida?

BATE II 1-4 Lida in the Belarus - 1st Division on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE II vs Lida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lida win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BATE II 30%, draw 15%, Lida 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lida), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lida) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
11 Jul 2026
14:30 Orsha vs Smorgon Analysis →