Orsha vs Smorgon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orsha v Smorgon — Team-Based Signals
Orsha vs Smorgon Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Orsha
BLR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLR1
Orsha 1-1 Smorgon — Actual Match Statistics
Orsha and Smorgon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Smorgon at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, shots finished 3-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orsha had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orsha and 0.00 for Smorgon.
What was the final score of Orsha vs Smorgon?
Orsha 1-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - 1st Division on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orsha vs Smorgon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orsha 29%, draw 21%, Smorgon 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.