Parnu JK 5-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 11 Jul 2026

Parnu JK
5-1 HT 3-1
JK Tammeka Tartu
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2026

Parnu JK vs JK Tammeka Tartu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parnu JK v JK Tammeka Tartu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Parnu JK vs JK Tammeka Tartu Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
23% Ball Possession 77%
3 Total Shots 32
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.08.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 8-0 HT 4-0 Parnu JK Parnu JK ESTK
08.10.2020 Parnu JK Parnu JK 0-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu ESTK
POST-MATCH Parnu JK vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK swept aside JK Tammeka Tartu 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Parnu JK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Parnu JK and 4.50 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Parnu JK vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Parnu JK 5-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK 40%, draw 22%, JK Tammeka Tartu 37%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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11 Jul 2026
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