Nomme United 3-2 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 30%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +1%
1.66/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.22
+4% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2026 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
25.04.2026 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
28.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 4-1 HT 0-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
04.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
3-2
AWAY FC Kuressaare
25 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nomme United edged past FC Kuressaare 3-2 in the Estonia - Premium League on 11 Jul 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, shots finished 25-15.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nomme United and 1.83 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme United 3-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 45%, draw 24%, FC Kuressaare 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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