FC Kuressaare 4-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
36%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
53%
-14.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.59/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.80
-10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
04.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
4-1
AWAY Nomme United
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare cruised past Nomme United 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day FC Kuressaare made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 51% of the ball to Nomme United's 49%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.33 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United?

FC Kuressaare 4-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 38%, draw 26%, Nomme United 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Kuressaare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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