Nomme United 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.76
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
52%
+8.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.0pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 29%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.11
+2% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 4-1 HT 0-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
04.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme United squeezed past FC Kuressaare 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Nomme United had 49% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 51%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nomme United and 2.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme United 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 61%, draw 18%, FC Kuressaare 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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