FC Kuressaare 2-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Nomme United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2026 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
28.09.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 4-1 HT 0-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.06.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
04.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
2-1
AWAY Nomme United
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare squeezed past Nomme United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 36% of the ball to Nomme United's 64%, shots finished 14-20.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.40 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United?

FC Kuressaare 2-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 35%, draw 24%, Nomme United 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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