Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-1.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.5pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
2.65/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.52
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2026 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
19.10.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-3 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 3-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
14.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-0
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju squeezed past Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 55% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 45%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.67 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 70%, draw 17%, Harju Jalgpallikool 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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