Harju Jalgpallikool 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 69%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.23/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.91
+18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 3-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
14.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool ESTK
30.09.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1-3
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off Harju Jalgpallikool 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 50% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.83 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Harju Jalgpallikool 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 18%, draw 22%, Nomme JK Kalju 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →