Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.59/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.62
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 3-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
14.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool ESTK
30.09.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
12.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
19.03.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-0
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
62% Ball Possession 38%
30 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju edged past Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 62% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 38%, shots finished 30-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.67 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 59%, draw 22%, Harju Jalgpallikool 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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