Trans Narva 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.40/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.06
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
18.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
06.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-3 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
25.02.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trans Narva had 53% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trans Narva and 2.50 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Trans Narva 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 29%, draw 23%, FC Flora Tallinn 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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