FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.09/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.08
+7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
18.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
06.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-3 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
25.02.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTSK
01.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-2
AWAY Trans Narva
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn and Trans Narva shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 57% of the ball to Trans Narva's 43%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.50 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 50%, draw 25%, Trans Narva 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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