Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
46%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
46%
Away Win
61%
-15.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.36/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.86
+34% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
209 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
15.09.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-4 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.07.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
30.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
07.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
19.08.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-3 HT 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0-3
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju ran out comfortable winners over Parnu JK Vaprus 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 28% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 72%, shots finished 4-28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 2.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 28%, draw 26%, Nomme JK Kalju 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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