Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nomme JK Kalju v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals
Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
3-3
HT 0-2
Nomme JK Kalju
EST1
1-0
HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics
Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 59% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 41%, shots finished 14-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.17 for Parnu JK Vaprus.
What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 58%, draw 24%, Parnu JK Vaprus 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.