FC Flora Tallinn 5-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
2.49/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.32
+8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-3 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
10.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
20.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.05.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn cruised past Tallinna Kalev 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 69% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 31%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.83 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Flora Tallinn 5-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 60%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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