Tallinna Kalev 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 May 2024

Tallinna Kalev
0-3 HT 0-2
FC Flora Tallinn
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.29
Over 2.5
42%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-16.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
40%
+18.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
60%
-18.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tallinna Kalev v FC Flora Tallinn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.25/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.86
-5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
20.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.05.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
18.03.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
05.11.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1

Tallinna Kalev 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-3
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day FC Flora Tallinn made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 45% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 55%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.67 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Tallinna Kalev 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 32%, draw 31%, FC Flora Tallinn 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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