FC Levadia 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
63%
-17.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+13.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.94/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.31
+3% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.11.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
23.10.2022 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia nicked a narrow win over Paide Linnameeskond 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 55% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 45%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Levadia and 0.83 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Levadia 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 45%, draw 26%, Paide Linnameeskond 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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