Trans Narva 0-2 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
0.97/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.47
-38% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
19.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
21.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 5-0 HT 5-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.06.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-2
AWAY FC Kuressaare
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare saw off Trans Narva 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 57% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 43%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trans Narva and 1.67 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Kuressaare?

Trans Narva 0-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 44%, draw 25%, FC Kuressaare 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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