FC Kuressaare 5-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -32%
1.70/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.64
+23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.06.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
16.04.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
12.11.2022 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.08.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-1 HT 2-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
5-0
AWAY Trans Narva
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare cruised past Trans Narva 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day FC Kuressaare made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 59% of the ball to Trans Narva's 41%, shots finished 19-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Kuressaare and 0.83 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva?

FC Kuressaare 5-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 38%, draw 24%, Trans Narva 38%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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