FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.26/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.28
-12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
17.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.05.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
19.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
16.10.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
31.08.2022 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn and Nomme JK Kalju shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 55% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 45%, shots finished 19-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 35%, draw 27%, Nomme JK Kalju 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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