FC Kuressaare 0-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.54/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.72
+21% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
21.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 5-0 HT 5-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
27.06.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
16.04.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-1
AWAY Trans Narva
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva squeezed past FC Kuressaare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trans Narva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 47% of the ball to Trans Narva's 53%, shots finished 9-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Kuressaare and 0.33 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva?

FC Kuressaare 0-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 32%, draw 32%, Trans Narva 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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