JK Tammeka Tartu 1-3 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
18%
+11.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
44%
Away Win
59%
-14.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.90
-6% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
20.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
30.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
19.08.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 6-3 HT 3-3 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.03.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-3
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond beat JK Tammeka Tartu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 44% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 56%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.67 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-3 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 30%, draw 26%, Paide Linnameeskond 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Under 2.5
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