Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 36%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.93/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.11
-40% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
01.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.11.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3-0
AWAY FC Levadia
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond swept aside FC Levadia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 60% of the ball to FC Levadia's 40%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.83 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 33%, draw 25%, FC Levadia 42%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5
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