Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 59%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.99/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.52
-13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
01.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.11.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0-1
AWAY FC Levadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 44% of the ball to FC Levadia's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 2.00 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 30%, draw 23%, FC Levadia 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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