FC Levadia 4-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.11.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
4-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia got the better of Paide Linnameeskond 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 60% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 40%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Levadia and 0.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Levadia 4-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Cup on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 46%, draw 26%, Paide Linnameeskond 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →