FC Levadia 4-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-18.2pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -2%
2.49/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.74
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
472 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-9 HT 0-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
27.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
07.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
4-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia cruised past Tallinna Kalev 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 69% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 31%, shots finished 22-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for FC Levadia and 0.67 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Levadia 4-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 67%, draw 19%, Tallinna Kalev 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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