FC Levadia 4-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.3pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.9pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
2.46/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.24
-3% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
434 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
07.10.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
26.08.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
11.06.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
4-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia cruised past Tallinna Kalev 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 73% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 27%, shots finished 20-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Levadia and 1.00 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Levadia 4-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 66%, draw 20%, Tallinna Kalev 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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