Trans Narva 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
60%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-4.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
60%
Away Win
52%
+8.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
0.92/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.13
-36% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2026 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
27.09.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-3 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
20.07.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.03.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
29.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva edged past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paide Linnameeskond at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 47% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 53%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Trans Narva 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 20%, draw 19%, Paide Linnameeskond 60%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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