Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
2.03/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.65
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-3 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
20.07.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.03.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
29.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
25.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-3 HT 1-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY Trans Narva
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past Trans Narva 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 71% of the ball to Trans Narva's 29%, shots finished 11-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 57%, draw 21%, Trans Narva 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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