Harju Jalgpallikool 1-3 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.18
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
76%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
51%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
11%
-1.7pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.6pp
76%
Away Win
71%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 75%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.14/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.69
+52% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +15%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
19.07.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
31.05.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.02.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 5-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
26.09.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
12.08.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1-3
AWAY FC Levadia
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 28
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia saw off Harju Jalgpallikool 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 27% of the ball to FC Levadia's 73%, shots finished 7-28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.17 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Levadia?

Harju Jalgpallikool 1-3 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 10%, draw 14%, FC Levadia 76%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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