FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.66/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.39
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 HT 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTSK
28.09.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
06.07.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
0-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Nomme JK Kalju made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 66% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 34%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 2.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 38%, draw 30%, Nomme JK Kalju 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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