FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Super Cup, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
24%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
06.07.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
25.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-3
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 34% / 37% — and on the day Nomme JK Kalju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 51% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 2.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Super Cup on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 29%, draw 34%, Nomme JK Kalju 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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