Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.47
+65% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
0W-5D-1L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
11.11.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
17.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.05.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
19.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju ran out comfortable winners over FC Flora Tallinn 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 46% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 54%, shots finished 18-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.17 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 45%, draw 26%, FC Flora Tallinn 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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