Paide Linnameeskond 2-3 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.6pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.90/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.08
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.04.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
27.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
12.04.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-3
AWAY Trans Narva
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva edged past Paide Linnameeskond 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 69% of the ball to Trans Narva's 31%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-3 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 48%, draw 27%, Trans Narva 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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