Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.08
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
27.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
12.04.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
05.03.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-2
AWAY Trans Narva
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond and Trans Narva couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 59% of the ball to Trans Narva's 41%, shots finished 19-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 48%, draw 25%, Trans Narva 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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