JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 23%
-24% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.55/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.74
-12% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nomme United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 5
05.04.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
2-1
AWAY Nomme United
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu squeezed past Nomme United 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 44% of the ball to Nomme United's 56%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme United?

JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 48%, draw 28%, Nomme United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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