FC Levadia 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.41/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.97
-20% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
20.01.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia HAZ
05.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.06.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past FC Flora Tallinn 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Levadia had 53% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 47%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Levadia and 0.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Levadia 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 47%, draw 28%, FC Flora Tallinn 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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