FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.45/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.69
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
11.11.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
17.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
07.05.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn squeezed past Nomme JK Kalju 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Flora Tallinn found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 62% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 38%, shots finished 26-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 39%, draw 23%, Nomme JK Kalju 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ BTTS No
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