FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.82/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.08
+27% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
343 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
25.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
11.11.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-3
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju squeezed past FC Flora Tallinn 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 55% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 45%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.33 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-3 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 42%, draw 28%, Nomme JK Kalju 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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