FC Kuressaare 2-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +23%
1.32/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.62
+7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +75%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.11.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
24.08.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
19.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
21.04.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 5-0 HT 5-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
28.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
2-1
AWAY Trans Narva
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 31% of the ball to Trans Narva's 69%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Kuressaare and 0.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva?

FC Kuressaare 2-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 36%, draw 20%, Trans Narva 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trans Narva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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